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Changes in the overconfidence effect after debiasing.

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dc.contributor.author Sundbye, Erin.
dc.date.accessioned 2012-06-28T20:25:11Z
dc.date.available 2012-06-28T20:25:11Z
dc.date.created 1994 en_US
dc.date.issued 2012-06-28
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/1717
dc.description iii, 28 leaves en_US
dc.description.abstract The problem of the overconfidence bias is investigated. The possible reduction of students' overconfidence in their own predictions was investigated using two debiasing techniques: exposure to base rate and description of the problem. It was found that base rate exposure significantly reduced overconfidence while description of the problem had no effect. These findings are valuable for industry. Decisions regarding personnel selection and delegation of responsibility, for example, would be better made if the tendency to be overconfident is diminished by the use of base rate information. Costly mistakes can then be avoided. en_US
dc.language.iso en_US en_US
dc.subject Decision support systems. en_US
dc.subject Confidence. en_US
dc.subject Feedback (Psychology). en_US
dc.title Changes in the overconfidence effect after debiasing. en_US
dc.type Thesis en_US
dc.college the teachers college en_US
dc.advisor Michael Murphy en_US
dc.department psychology en_US

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